I'm Hubert Senters and I'm known for my no B.S. approach to trading the markets.

During my presentation, I'm going to show you how to take your trading to the next level, and if you're a fan of charting you will love this.

This strategy works on Stocks, Options, Futures, Forex Bonds, Commodities and Cryptos. It works for Day Trading, Swing trading and Investing.

It has also yielded returns of up to 79%. So sit back, and enjoy the show.

SHORT VIDEO PRESENTATION: HOW TO FIND NEW TREND TRADES

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

The General Blueprint for becoming a million-dollar trader has only two pieces, each having their own set of instructions.

• Generate a small, consistent weekly income using a low-risk option strategy
• Compound that income according to a proper Compounding Plan

This General Blueprint will result in astronomical growth in your account. 

Power of Compounding

Let’s first start with the power of a proper Compounding Plan. This is the ONLY thing that gives you the ability to achieve astronomical growth without risking a ton of money.  The lower the risk, the more efficient the growth. The results below WILL occur if you are implementing the right kind of strategy. It is simple math. 

• $10/Week Grows $1,000 into $35,000 in 5-Years
• $25/Week Grows $1,000 into $211,000 in 5-Years
• $50/Week Grows $1,000 into $845,000 in 5-Years
• $75/Week Grows $1,000 into $1.9 Million in 5-Years
• $100/Week Grows $1,000 into $3.4 Million in 5-Years

To put this in perspective, without the compounding, $10/week grows into only $2,600 in net profits after 5-years (instead of $35,000), and $25/week only grows to $6,500 in profits after 5-years (instead of $211,000). 

This is why so many traders completely and utterly dismiss low-risk, high-probability option trades. They are looking for the strategy to make them the big bucks right away, when this isn’t the plan. The idea is to use a compounding plan to grow your account through small and consistent winning trades over time. 

Generating a Small, Consistent Weekly Income

While this is a little more complex than simply following a compounding plan, it is, nevertheless, far easier than what most traders make it out to be. 

For those who have experience trading options, and specifically diagonal spreads, this may be all the instruction you need. However, if you are not familiar with diagonal spreads, there are “traps” and nuances that need to be understood to make sure you achieve a 98% probability of success on each trade. I’ll briefly cover those in this blueprint, but the more you understand the approach, the more efficient you will be at trading it. 

Before I get to the Pattern, let me give you the first goal in the process.

1. Close out a $20 net profit with your first trade

When you have a 98% probability of success with a pattern, this is not the ideal way to trade it. However, you’ll go through the entire process (opening, closing) at your choosing as opposed to waiting until the last minute where mistakes can be made. 

If you make a mistake, correct the mistake and take another trade (same week or for the following week). Exit that trade at a $20 net profit. 

1. After you exit your trade at a profit, WATCH the trade to its conclusion

You’ll learn a lot by this process. In fact, the more of these patterns you watch from start to end, the more you are going to understand them. It is a tremendous exercise to increase your efficiency with how you take advantage of this truly unique opportunity.

1. Exit your second trade at a $30 Profit

After you have had a successful trade of $20, take your next trade and close it for a $30 net profit. If you make a mistake, correct the mistake, and repeat the effort.  After you exit each trade, watch the trade through expiration. 

1. Rinse and repeat adding $10 to the profit target

After you have successfully exited a trade at a $30 profit target, take your next trade with a $40 target. The following trade at a $50 target. Etc. up to about $100. By the time you get to $100 profit target, you’ll have a solid understanding of the pattern itself and will be able to increase your efficiency with how you exit the trade. Watch every trade you take through the expiration after you exit. 

This 4-step process is the safest and most efficient way to implement the Million-Dollar Option Pattern and ensure the smoothest possible start to your journey. 

Million Dollar Option Pattern

The concept behind the Million Dollar Option Pattern is very straight-forward and is the most powerful concept in option trading will give you a 98% probability of success week in and week out…if they are executed properly. 

• Don’t Start with a Big Trade Size (Stick to the Process)
• Do Not be Reckless in How You Implement the Strategy
• Follow the Instructions

Start small. I don’t care what size of account you have. You will make mistakes at the beginning. You can count on it. The process I have put in place is designed to minimize those mistakes and the cost of the mistakes when they are made. There is huge growth potential as you experience actual success.

If you are reckless in how you implement this strategy, it can be costly. You can’t just implement the logic any way you want and create a 98% probability on a trade. 

Follow the instructions. I don’t care how much education or experience you have. Not long ago, I didn’t follow my own instructions, thought I’d change it up a bit to create a small fortune in a single week with a huge probability of success. But to do that, I had to take more risk than I should have and I got bit. The market made a 2% move  My loss should have been small, and it was big. The markets don’t care how much experience you think you have. If you don’t follow the instructions, it’s only a matter of time before the market will chew you up and spit you out.

Friday – Monday Relationship

The Million-Dollar Option Pattern utilizes the Friday/Monday expiration relationship in SPY.  This is a special relationship that allows for the 98% probability of this pattern.  However, there are issues with the Friday/Monday expiration relationship as well, making it imperative that you stick to the process. If you deviate from the process, you could be creating a lower probability of success (sometimes substantially lower). 

Time Frame for Placing on the Million Dollar Option Pattern

Generally, this pattern can be placed from between 4 – 10 days prior to the Friday expiration leg. The key to being able to place on the pattern is the price relationship between the bearish trade and the bullish trade.

Million-Dollar Option Pattern Concept

The concept is straight-forward and logical:

1 Bearish/Neutral Trade + 1 Bullish Trade = Huge Probability of Success 

Here is the “go to” pattern for each of these trades:

Bearish Trade:

This trade is projected to make money if SPY closes at any level below about 328.00ish. The minimum gain to the downside is $162. SPY was trading just below 323.00 at the time the trade was filled. 

The risk on the bearish/neutral trade is almost always going to be the bigger risk between the bearish and bullish trades. The reason for this is due to the “neutral” aspect of the trade. If the market goes nowhere by expiration, this trade will make between $175 - $225.  he maximum risk on this trade if SPY sky-rockets AND you do not implement a bullish trade is $338, but has a very low probability or realizing that maximum risk.

Bearish Trade Legs:

Leg 1:  Sell (1) Friday Exp Strike Call That is Slightly Out of the Money (or Can be ATM).
Leg 2:  Sell (1) Friday Expiration Strike that is 3.00 Points Higher Than the First leg.
Leg 3:  Buy (2) Monday Expiration Strike Calls that are 1.00 Point Higher Than Leg 2 Strike.
For a Credit (Usually Above 1.35 in Current Market Conditions)

This is the pattern. The strikes with this pattern can move either lower (OTM), or Higher (ITM), but the price at which you buy the spread at is DIRECTLY RELATED to the price of the bullish pattern. The implementation of this pattern is represented in the projection graph above with the details below:

Leg 1:    Short (1) Fri Exp 323.00 Call
Leg 2:    Short (1) Fri Exp 326.00 Call
Leg 3:    Long (2) Mon Exp 327.00 Calls
From a Credit of 1.62

This is not a difficult pattern. Practice understanding the price points of this pattern by watching several of them throughout the week. When placed according to the pattern when the lowest short strike is slightly OTM, there is generally about a 70% probability of success if held on until expiration. 

Obviously, as the market moves, the pattern moves with it.  If it is Thursday and I place on the trade for the following Friday/Monday expiration (8-days away), and SPY is trading at 322.50, then my first short strike will be 323.00 and the pattern will build from there.

If on Friday and the market is trading at 320.20, I will place my first strike at 321.00 or 320.00, depending on whether I want to bring in a bigger credit or not.  

Ultimately, it doesn’t matter whether you place the trade ATM, slightly ITM, or significantly OTM.  The KEY is the relationship and price of the bullish trade:

Bullish Trade:

There are several different types of bullish trades that can be placed on.  I’m going to keep the bullish trade as simple as possible. 

Notice that this bullish trade will lose money if the market goes nowhere. That is fine, the bearish trade will make a significant gain in that instance. If SPY moves higher, there is a profit peak at 331.00 that tops out at around $500. The minimum gain on this trade is $250 if SPY Sky-Rockets. Meanwhile, the downside risk is at $150 if SPY crashes. 

Recall with the bearish trade, the minimum gain is $162 to the downside. This means if SPY crashes, you are guaranteed to make at least $12 on the trade. While that doesn’t seem like a lot, $12/week with this strategy compounds into $48,000 in profits after only 5-years. 

The details with this trade are below:

Leg 1:  Sell (1) Fri Exp Strike Call That is 4.00 Points above the Long Strike in the Bearish Trade.
Leg 3:  Buy (1) Mon Exp Strike Call that is 2.00 Points Below the Short Strike of Leg in the Bullish Trade.
For a Debit of 50% of the Credit of the Bearish Trade.

The only slight modification with this trade is that you are going to do 2 of the bullish, not one. So it looks like this:

Leg 1:    Short (2) Fri Exp 331.00 Calls
Leg 2:    Long (2) Mon Exp 329.00 Calls
For a Total Net Debit of 1.62 or Lower (At or lower than the credit of the bearish trade).

I was able to place this particular trade on at a total debit of 1.50, giving me a credit of 0.12 on the trade. The risk of the bullish trade is the debit on the trade.

If this is your first time putting together option patterns (for most of you it is, as no one else teaches how to do this), you might think it is a bit complex and complicated.  You might even be confused.

Don’t worry, that is natural. I promise you, the more you get into this, the easier it becomes. After a few months of putting this trade together, it will become second nature.

Most importantly … stick with the process. 

Compounding Plan – Don’t Trade Without It

The Million Dollar Option Pattern is a great pattern, but it is not one that is designed to make a killing week in and week out.  True wealth comes only by combining the option strategy with my compounding plan.

This compounding plan shows starting out with $2,500. That is a good starting account size for this because it allows for mistakes and slight variations if needed. However, you can start with as little as $1,000 in your account. 

The combination bearish/neutral trade with the bullish trade is considered 1 Unit in the trade size column. It is a 1/1/2 trade combined with a 2/2 trade. 

Two units is a 2/2/4 trade combined with a 4/4 trade.  Etc.

Since the risk on the Million Dollar Option Pattern never has a risk of more than $100 if implemented properly, the max risk column should never come into play.  

Here is How it Works

When your closed trade account value reaches $2,600 (or $100 in profits), go to 2 units on your next trade. When your closed account value reaches $2,800 (a total of $300 in profits), go to 3 units on your next trade, Etc.

Decreasing:

If you suffer losses either through abnormal market conditions and/or mistakes, you need to drop your trade size as the account drops. Let’s say you reach an account size of $4,000 ($1,500 in profits) and are trading 6 units and lose $50 on the trade per unit. That drops your account size to $3,700. In this instant, you would REMAIN at 6 units. You would not drop down to 5 units unless your account decreased below the previous level (in this case $3,500). At 3,500 or below, you drop to 5 units. You will drop down to 4 units if your account drops to $3,100, and 3 units at $2,800. 

Follow the decreasing levels on the way back up, and then resume the normal increase rate according to the plan. 

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Tom Sosnoff, is the founder and co-CEO of tastytrade, Inc. and is a recognized online brokerage innovator and sought-after financial educator. Tom is a true visionary and serial entrepreneur who co-founded thinkorswim in 1999, tastytrade in 2011 and newly launched tastyworks in 2017.

Tom pursued a vision to educate retail investors in options trading and to build a superior software platform and a brokerage firm that specialized in options. His efforts ultimately changed the way these instruments traded by pioneering everything from single click complex trading functionality to multi-product access from a single platform.

Currently, Tom is the co-host of tastytrade Live and continues to drive innovation and know-how to the do-it yourself investor. It is one of the most-watched online financial networks, engaging investors and traders across 150 countries with 8 hours of daily, live, cost-free and commercial free programming and accessible through video on-demand 24/7. 

tastytrade has over 30 million hours watched of free archived programming which it distributes through www.tastytrade.com, www.tastyworks.com, iTunes, Apple TV, Roku, Amazon Fire TV,  and YouTube.

In 2017, tastytrade won the CEC Momentum Award for a company more than five years old that is on track to become one of the next great companies to emerge in Chicago. It’s research based content teaches a logical, mechanical approach to investing and identifying opportunities based on probability and volatility. Investors are continually challenged with financial math, humor, and new market perspectives.

SHORT VIDEO PRESENTATION: OPTIONS TRADING IN VOLATILE MARKETS

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

One of the most amazing privileges I have is to speak with individual traders from across the globe every week. Whether’s it’s at a live speaking event (pre-corona … we’ll be back strong!), more likely on a webinar or even via email, that communication let’s me know what individual traders are doing and what you are interested in.

By simply asking questions throughout the presentation, it also let’s me know what you are not doing. One of the most overlooked but valuable tools in options trading is premium collection. Many people trade options, some collect premium through credit spreads but only a very small group of traders use the diagonal calendar strategy.

The diagonal calendar allows you to become a landlord of the options market. It’s essentially a synthetic covered call. It’s both risk controlled on the short side and can become open - ended on the long side plus it can be done for just hundreds of dollars. Here’s what it looks like:

Take a look at this bullish example of Micron Technology (MU):

First, we identify an opportunity that we like using technical analysis (I’ll cover this in detail via a live presentation).

Then we put on the long call, typically 60+ days out in time:

Now, we reduce our sin with premium collection using a shorter dated call.

*Notice how the long call is for 64 days and the short call is only for 9. Now, the amount we collect each week will vary but using different strikes, we will look to average around the same amount of premium collection each week and if we do, here’s what it looks like:

The average weekly collection is worth more than the cost of the option so even if our anchor (long call) expires worthless, this trade can still be profitable!

Premium collection is the best way to both defend trades and enhance performance in a more volatile market like the one we are currently experiencing. Real estate is fantastic because your time does not correlate with your money. This is the real estate version of the stock market where you collect rent every week! I pride myself on response time so if you have any questions or want further follow up, email me at adam@adammesh.com. For the upcoming summit, my live presentation will go into much more detail on that first step of the process, how to identify the best option trade to make. I’ll show you one simple trick that you will use for as long as you are a trader!

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Linear momentum is one of the most reliable ways to predict a security’s future price. Whether it is a stock, exchange traded fund (ETF), index, futures contract or Forex pair, momentum tells us who is in control- the bulls or the bears. It gives us a reliable indicator of which way the market is headed and when a new trend is setting in or an old trend is reversing. Imagine having access to this knowledge before placing your next trade. In this article, I will explain how you can accurately gauge future market direction and place more confident trades in any market and any timeframe.

First, let’s examine what linear momentum is and how it exhibits predictive qualities in the markets. In physics linear momentum is defined as the product of a system's mass multiplied by its velocity. Momentum is directly proportional to the object's mass and its velocity. Therefore, the greater an object's mass or velocity, the greater its momentum. When applied to the markets, we can replace the variable “mass” with the catalyst of buying and selling pressure. Once we determine whether buyers or sellers are moving prices, we can more confidently place our trades and stay on the right side of the predominant trend.

There are dozens of “momentum indicators” available on today’s retail trading platforms. Some are more reliable than others. There are also many ways to interpret the data from these indicators and implement the output when placing a trade or incorporating the information into a trading system. Ultimately, we want a momentum indicator that tells us the strength, direction, momentum and duration of the trend in a security’s price. There is one particular indicator available on virtually any retail trading platform that does an incredible job at accomplishing all of these metrics: the MACD.

The MACD indictor, which stands for Moving Average Convergence/Divergence, is a trading indicator originally created in the late 1970s by Gerald Appel and used in the technical analysis of security prices. Appel designed this indicator to reveal changes in the strength, direction, momentum, and duration of a trend in a stock's price. Not only is this indicator accurate and versatile, it can be applied to any market and any timeframe the trader chooses. While there are numerous ways to apply this momentum indicator, such as through divergence of the averages from the security’s price or to identify overbought/oversold conditions, one of the most reliable techniques to determine future trend momentum is the MACD cross.

The MACD is comprised of a 26-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and a 12-period EMA. By subtracting the 26-period EMA from the 12-period EMA, you get the MACD line. A 9-period EMA of the MACD called the "signal line," is plotted on top of the MACD line, which provides the buy and sell signals. In other words, the MACD cross indicates a shift in momentum when the fast line crosses above or below the slow line.

Let’s look at this on a daily chart of Apple, Inc. (Ticker: AAPL):

We can see the MACD cross that took place in early June when the signal line passed the MACD line following a steep sell-off, resulting in a buy setup. Over the next couple of months shares of Apple, Inc. rallied nearly 24%.  In this scenario the MACD cross proved to be a very accurate indicator in terms of identifying the momentum shift and predicting a change in trend.

The MACD can also be combined with other momentum indicators and price action to add a layer of confirmation to trading decisions. To learn how you can use a proprietary blend of momentum indicators to reliably predict trends in any market and any timeframe, visit www.tradetrend.com.

 

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

In my years of trading I have found that keeping things simple is better. Loading your charts with dozens of indicators can be hazardous to your trading wealth.   We’ve all gone down the shiny-object road that most likely end at the corners of Paralysis and Analysis. 

I want to share a very ‘not-so-secret’ trading strategy and methodology that will probably leave your head scratching as to why you have not (or are not) incorporating this into your daily routine.  I am a strong believer that any so-called ‘strategy’ should work on any markets and on any timeframes if it is truly worth its salt….and this one certainty does.

I encourage you to watch this short video in which I detail this very simple and mechanical setup that appears time and time again, day in and day out whether you trade BAIDU, the British Pound, or Bitcoin...regardless if you analyze the weekly, daily, hourly or tick charts.

Don’t let the simplicity scare you - this is my bread and butter set-and-forget strategy that has been responsible for most of my trading success. Keep things simple and you shall succeed.

SHORT VIDEO PRESENTATION: PRICE ACTION FORMULA FOR SPOTTING REVERSALS

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Covid-19, an election year and an economy on the brink of collapse. In these unprecedented times, trading can be stressful for many, but it really doesn't have to be that way. 

Every day brings a new set of challenges and also, a new set of opportunities.

I believe in a simple, straightforward trading methodology that works in any market. It allows you to easily identify trends, stay on the right side of the trend, and then hone in on exactly the right time to enter and exit a trade. 

SHORT VIDEO PRESENTATION: 3 SIMPLE STEPS TO A PROVEN TRADING EDGE

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

At the time of this video the market was reaching all-time highs - late summer 2020. It's very interesting and fun to watch and trade if you know what you're doing.

When you get an S&P 500 on a massive run up with a market that has been propped up by Fed buying and manipulation ... well it's not the normal market. In fact we haven't seen this with the market in 120 plus years.

It's pretty spectacular, but the question is: when will it end? And as we all know, uncertainty can lead to terrible decision making for traders and investors. The key to profiting in these conditions will be rooted in Patterns and Probabilities.

There are algorithms that that can provide the most powerful momentum strategies that can continue to perform in higher market conditions, or even if we top out! 

In this short video, I give you a glimpse into what I will be covering in greater detail during my live presentation at the upcoming Trading the Moment Financial Symposium.

Be sure to view this video as often as you like to prep for the session, and for the market that will indeed come crashing back down. 

And always remember: Be Prepared, because the goal is to make money ... in any market!

SHORT VIDEO PRESENTATION: MARKET DEFINING PATTERNS & PROBABILITIES

 

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

As you know, it’s been a tough year for the markets, which has left traders and investors in various states of grief:

Fear, denial, anger, bargaining, depression…

For better or worse, we’re witnessing historical market conditions -- but how do we end up on the right side of it?

That’s where Market Geometry comes in (it’s the science of how price moves, and why).

In this new video, I’m giving you a sneak peak at what’s been working for me (my members are up over 300%), plus my outlook for what lies ahead.

You’ll even pick up a few techniques you can apply to your own trading right away…

SHORT VIDEO PRESENTATION:PLUG AND PLAY PROFIT SIGNALS

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

In this presentation, I'm going to demonstrate our methodology for trading gold.

Throughout the year the U.S. Equity Indices have been a mixed bag, in terms of performance

• The emini S&P 500 futures (ES) have been up 3.75%
• Dow Futures (YM) are down 2.42%
• Nasdaq futures are up 25.32%
• Russell 2000 futures are down 5.01%

And then there's gold. Gold futures are up 28%

I've been trading gold quite a bit lately and in my presentation, I will show you exactly how we do it at Diversified Treading Institute.

SHORT VIDEO PRESENTATION: ALL THAT GLITTERS IS GOLD

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Coronavirus impacts school openings, clashing global economic trends, sports returning or rescheduling… it often feels like the breaking news is nonstop. It all has the ability to impact your bottom line, but it’s a lot for everyday traders to keep up with. With the market looking like it could erupt at any moment, you want an experienced mentor guiding you through it each step of the way. 

Pro Forex trader Chris Pulver has seen it all in his 15+ years in the market, rising from MTI student to Senior Market Analyst within the company. During his rise, he’s proven capable of producing consistent 5-figure results, with over 30,000 pips in 2019. Known for a flexible, innovative approach to the market, he’s gained popularity with many types of traders because of his ability to craft strategies that can be adapted for nearly any trading style or experience level. Now, he’s ready to apply his experience to what he believes could be one of the largest moves of the decade.  

SHORT VIDEO PRESENTATION - THE ULTIMATE TRADING ROOM EXPERIENCE

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

The election in the United States is coming up!

Coronavirus!

China vs US trade war!

The fall of the US dollar!

Some of these events will happen in the next few months. Some of these events may happen in the next few months. Some of these events will never happen.

Many investors will react differently to these events and for the most part, those reactions can be broken down into two groups.

The first group of investors looks at these events and thinks, “Wow! This is going to create a ton of volatility! I have to change everything I am doing and place brand new strategies that are completely different than I have done in the past in order to profit from what is coming up!”

The second group of investors looks at these events and thinks, “Okay. There is always SOMETHING. Instead of trying to re-invent the wheel, why don’t I just continue to place tried and true methods that have works for decades in both bull and bear markets?”

Clearly, there are two massively different approaches. Group one is under the assumption that these are “rare” market conditions but as we all know, there is ALWAYS something. There is always a geopolitical event. There is always disagreement in Congress. There are always earnings. There are always mergers and acquisitions. There is always SOMETHING.

While there are events coming up in the market which promise to be “market movers”, I personally don’t see how these events are anything different than we see in normal market conditions. Why? Because volatility occurs when the unexpected happens, not when the expected happens (even if it is good or bad).

To put this into perspective, earlier this year we saw significant volatility in the market as the largest unknown we have seen in a generation, COVID-19, caught the entire global economy and governments off guard. The market experienced very high levels of volatility because the results and the impact of COVID-19 on the economy and publicly traded companies were completely unknown.  Remember, the unknown causes volatility.

Then volatility decreased long before cases and deaths peaked. Why? Because many of the unknowns about the virus became knowns and the market is rarely volatile when the unknowns turn to know, even if they are seen as negative to the market.

This is why I am and have been a big proponent of not trying to outsmart the market and not trying to reinvent the wheel.

One on hand, a trader can go out there and look to learn brand new strategies for “turbulent” times ahead. On the other hand, traders like myself will continue to executive simple, effective, and consistent methods which continue to work year in and year out, regardless of what kind of market we are in or will be in in the future.

During my presentation titled “How I’m Beating The Market in 2020 Investing Just One Day A Week”, my entire goal is to show you simple, effective, and consistent tried and true methods that have worked for years that do not require a crystal ball to predict what the market may do moving forward. And the best part? These methods ONLY require you to trade just one day a week. Doesn’t get more simple than that!

Now, some of you may be skeptical. How can there be a one day a week strategy which consistently beats the market? How can this be?

The truth is, I really do not care WHY this is the case, I only care that it IS the case and it’s my job to go out there and executive a simple weekly strategy to get market outperforming results, regardless of what the market is doing.

How do I know?

Simple.

In the image above, the black line represents the S&P 500 from 2000 to the beginning of 2020. During this time, the S&P 500 experiences a bear market from 2000 until 2003, and bull market from 2003 until 2008, a bear market from 2008 until 2009, and a bull market from 2010 until 2020.

But take a look at that red line. That is my simple one day a week market-beating strategy. Sure, an investor could have owned the S&P 500 during the period between 2000 and 2020 and had excellent results, however, they would have had to hold on during two 50% drawdowns. On the other hand, those who knew my simple one day a week market-beating strategy such as the red line, well not only did they beat the buy and hold S&P 500 strategy pretty significantly but the largest drawdown they would have had to encounter was a 10% maximum drawdown. Not bad, right?

And how about in 2008 and 2009? Surely this strategy could not have been immune to the Great Financial Crisis, right?

As the black line (S&P 500) was selling off majorly during the Great Financial Crisis, that red line, my simple one day a week market-beating strategy was not only not selling off, but as you can see, generated a significant profit during that same time!

But what about 2020? Surely this simple and consistent one day a week market-beating strategy could not have worked, right?

I don’t know, you tell me?  What you are looking at in the image above is the S&P 500 in grey compared to my simple and consistent one day a week market-beating strategy in orange. Yet again, like a broken record, this strategy beats the returns of the market...by investing just one day a week this year!

So yes, you are more than welcome to go out there and learn brand new strategies that potentially may help your performance in “volatile markets” and in fact, there may be new strategies moving forward that do increase your performance.

However, to me, it’s just so much simpler than that.  A once a week, simple and consistent, strategy that has beaten the market over and over and over again and as we have seen, has not only done so in bull markets, but also does so in bear markets.

So, if you are interested in learning this very simple, very consistent, one day a week market-beating strategy so that you don’t have to try to be smarter than the market or try to re-invent the wheel, then I hope you come to my presentation!

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Knowing how to read the market will allow you to take the professional's lead and boost your profits. Understanding professional moves will allow you to uncover the true market sentiment. It will give you a clear indication of which markets you should hold positions in ‐ whether buying or selling stocks, or going long or short on futures, FOREX or commodities.

The professionals can never hide their true intentions if you can learn to analyze a chart like they do. They may be leading the market, but they leave tell‐tale signs for anyone with the right knowledge to follow. The only truly important consideration for you is what the professional money is doing ‐ that is the only thing that matters, and then you follow in their footsteps.

By using and understanding TradeGuider and the Volume Spread Analysis methodology you will learn how to read any market like a professional, knowing if a market is behaving strong or weak, and identify high probability trade set ups for continued long term success as an occasional or full time trader.

SHORT VIDEO PRESENTATION: TRADING IN THE MARKET'S FOOTSTEPS

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Former Navy fighter pilot and Wall Street superstar Matthew 'Whiz' Buckley covers 'Trading the Death Star', completely destroying the Wall Street myth that investors MUST diversify. 

In this brief he covers the ONE stock that investors MUST trade, while ditching everything else. A wise investor once said "Diversification is for those that don't know what they're doing'.

The Death Star?

AMZN

There are many advantages to focusing on trading in one solid name like AMZN:

• You trade the same name and potentially profit no matter what direction AMZN moves – up, down, or sideways
• You stay focused on the news that impacts AMZN instead of many different stocks or ETFs
• You become an ‘expert’ in the name, reducing time spent on other positions
• And many other benefits 

THE MOVIE: TRADING THE DEATH STAR
 

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Hi, I'm Kirt Christensen, and I have been trading for over 22 years in both bullish and bearish markets. I specialize in mechanical, algorithmic swing trading methodologies.

Ever since the market selloff between February through April, the QQQ ETF, which tracks the Nasdaq, has outperformed the rest of the popular ETFs, reaching all-time highs in record time. While this feat is impressive, I do believe that the tech sector is vastly overpriced. The SPY, which tracks S&P 500 performance, has also rebounded almost entirely from its February lows. While also impressive, I believe the performance of the SPY is entirely overoptimistic and not based on real numbers.

With pandemic numbers on the rise, I believe we are on track to see a return of volatility in the months to come. The VIX, which is currently hovering around $22, could return to the $70-$80 range going into the Fall.

My trading strategy, which is a mechanical and objective strategy, has almost a 90% win rate ofver the past several years.  During my speaking engagement in the Trading the Moment Symposium, I will share my methodology for trading popular ETFs in today's markets.

SHORT VIDEO PRESENTATION: MECHANICAL STRATEGY FOR TRADING ETFS

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

I'm Eric Wilkinson, and I am delighted to be a speaker in the Trading the Moment Symposium. After all when we trade, that's exactly what we're doing - we are trading in the moment.

At this moment in time, the markets are going through sector rotation. Sector rotation occurs when money moves from one industry to another.

Tech stocks have been flying high lately while people are staying at home and consuming tech, but several blue chip stocks that are currently laggards are poised to make a rebound as the economy reopens. I will be talking about how to identify and capitalize on sector rotation opportunities at the symposium.

SHORT VIDEO PRESENTATION: AVOIDING PITFALLS TRADING OPTIONS

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Technical analysis methods have evolved since the early 18^th century with subjects like  Candlestick theory and Dow theory. There are literally hundreds of methodologies out there ranging from simple to complex. Some of these methods work, some do not. Some are profitable and consistent, others are not.

Given the hundreds of indicators and trading strategies out there:

• How do you know which to choose?
• Do you want a strategy that allows you to trade several times a day? week? or year?
• What fits your risk tolerance?
• Are you willing to take larger drawdowns in exchange for larger possible returns? Or are you more comfortable with a “Turtle” approach?

A core advantage of Technical Analysis is that the methods used should be objective. The simple fact that they are objective allows you to take the guesswork out of trading.

Let us use an example, if you understand how Gerald Appel’s MACD is designed, you will know how it is used to measure trend and momentum. You will also know that MACD is simply the subtraction of a short-term moving average from a longer-term moving average. This difference is then plotted (usually as a histogram) with an additional moving average (signal line) of the histogram. The standard settings for the MACD are usually 12,26,9. The 12 and 26 are usually the differences and the 9 is typically the signal line.

The simplest way to analyze a MACD is using its signal line. When the MACD crosses below its signal line it enters a bearish phase. This is a classic signal that you should take a short position. Likewise, when the MACD crosses above its signal line it enters a bullish phase. This is a classic signal to go long. 

Figure 1 Chart Created with MetaStock.

There are many ways to use MACD in trading, but I picked this because of its simplicity and its objectivity. Not all trading methods are simple, but all of them should be objective. Pure technical analysists will tell you that they all known news and fundamentals are already incorporated into price. The study of Technical Analysis is a short cut to understanding price. 

What I personally like about using Technical Analysis is its objectivity. Using Objectivity in our trading is paramount to trading successfully. It allows us to ignore the “crisis of the moment”. Our focus is on the underlying price action and make solid decisions based on what the price is telling us. It also allows us to stop guessing about the “fixes of the moment”. What the stimulus package will do, the bailouts will do, or what  the tax cuts will do, etc. This gives us objectivity and allows us to stop making decisions based on our gut or our feelings. 

This objectivity also allows us to also treat trading as a business. Just as in the MACD chart (figure 1) you can look at the trading signals MACD gave and figure out exactly where you would have made money, where you would have lost money, how often you would have traded, what drawdowns you would have had. You could also look how MACD performed in up markets vs down markets. You could know your winners versus your losers. You could really understand your business plan. 

This objectivity also allows us to compare MACD against other trading systems to see how it compares. Quite possible MACD is not a good indicator, or maybe there are better indicators to give you guidance in the market. With a technical analysis software (like MetaStock) you can learn how the MACD compares to other indicators and methods. Doing so allows us to focus on the methods  that work and ignore the rest. 

Let’s walk through an example system test using MetaStock’s systems tester and the DIA ETF. 

In this example, I take 58 of the built in Methodologies for MetaStock and am testing them against two years of historical data. For the purpose of this test, I am starting with a hypothetical account of 10,000 and trading 75% of the available equity in the account. Since I am testing only one stock against 58 different methodologies, I am doing a total of 58 tests. MetaStock can test all the stocks against hundreds of methods--It’s quite powerful. I’m keeping it simple.

Here are the results of this simulation in MetaStock, sorted by profitability.

You can see that while MACD was popular, it wasn’t even close to the best indicator for DIA over the last two years. It wasn’t even in the top five. 

The best performing system was a system built using Bollinger Bands. Looking closer, you can see it gained 39% profit, traded six times, and had zero losing trades.

For Comparison the MACD traded 48 times as much, lost 29 of those trades, and netted 9.66% profit. 

Both methods returned a hypothetical profit during the last two years. One method had a clear and demonstrable performance advantage. An advantage you can clearly see when you have the benefit of testing.

As traders, it is nearly impossible to know how to use and implement the hundreds of indicators available. Using systems testing allows us the ability to bypass the indicators that don’t work and focus on those that do. Doing so, we come up with a battle tested business plan.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Lance Ippolito is “The Blitz Tracker.”

Thanks to his experience working inside hedge funds and the one of the largest investment banks on the planet, Lance has discovered a brand new way for average Joes to profit from 24-hour market windfalls.

It’s all thanks to what he calls a “Shadow Blitz.” They’re an unusual group of trades that signals a stock is about to explode in just a matter of hours.

Thanks to his proprietary Blitz Alerts, Lance has been able to get in front of gains like $9,430... $7,330… and even $12,100…

SHORT VIDEO PRESENTATION: THE BLITZ TRACKER

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

The unprecedented money 'printing' or monetary debasing in recent months on the part of central banks and governments has brought about a market environment in many asset classes from stocks to bonds and currencies to commodities that is much more prone to significant volatility spikes. 

This environment looks to be with us for possibly years to come, much to the detriment of the average market participant, i.e. both traders and investors find it challenging to profitably navigate this market environment.

Thus, many market participants move to derivative markets such as options, where they participate in strategies that are notably riskier than they can anticipate.

But options do not have to be used in a highly speculative way but rather can be used for a steady income strategy that is much more conservative in nature (no, we are not doing buy-writes, i.e. covered calls).

Join Serge's presentation to learn this unique income-oriented options strategy that is used by many of the world's premiere private banks.

SHORT VIDEO PRESENTATION: BEST STRATEGY FOR STEADY OPTIONS INCOME

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Josh will be demonstrating a rare opportunity to “raid” the Market. This is your chance to make much better trades…while investing less money than you would otherwise. Even better, you can do this without ever touching a stock. He's looks forward to sharing this BRAND NEW pattern I have identified.
During the webinar Josh will show you how to gain access and trade alongside me weekly in my trading room so that you can take advantage of this market opportunity.

SHORT VIDEO PRESENTATION: MONEY MAGNET PATTERN RECOGNITION

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Hi, it's Andrew Keene, and I'm very excited to share my trading methodology at the Trade the Moment Symposium.

During my presentation you will see me trading in ThinkorSwim, coupled with a proprietary scanner which searches for Institutional Order Flow in the options market.

I look for activity from the biggest and best traders in the market, and I mimic their positions. You can view it simply as watching the tape for the best orders and taking those trades.

So, I scan the best trades and feed you the best trade I can find every day.

SHORT VIDEO PRESENTATION: SUPERCHARGED OPTIONS TRADING SYSTEM

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

This is Price Headley, and I am excited to be sharing with you what I call my Grand Slam Options Strategy. In my presentation, you will learn about:

1. Buying Options at $1.00 or less per contract
2. Why Gamma matters in Options... A Lot!
3. Learn the Grand Slam Options Filters, and
4. Review of my Aggressive Options Strategy

SHORT VIDEO PRESENTATION: HOW TO TRADE A SMALL ACCOUNT WITH $1 OPTIONS

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

If you are like most in the market, you probably didn’t expect the market to drop significantly in February and March of this year, nor did you likely expect it to bounce the way it did off the March bottom. You also probably didn’t expect the move up to 3200+ on the S&P 500 (SPX).  Technically – and fundamentally – these moves just didn’t seem possible. 

In fact, if you traded based on news, you would have missed much of the massive 50%+ rally in the market off the March low, as the worst news about COVID came out as we were bottoming in March of 2020.  Moreover, the highest death rates were being reported daily during the rally off the March low. 

But, from an Elliott Wave sentiment-based perspective, the bottom at 2191.86 on the SPX on March 23 was evident in the wave counts, which called for a low-end target of 2187.90, just 4 points below the actual bottom. The local top at 3233.13 on June 8 was just 83 cents from our ideal 3234 target evident on our charts from early April, after which we were expecting a pullback towards the 2900 SPX region.

Similarly, with Gold, you probably didn’t expect the GLD to be approaching the $200 region this year. Yet, when the GLD was at $120, we projected a target of $149.92 by April 2020 (the GLD closed at $149.45 on April 1), and then we expected much higher levels to come later this year, as we approached a long-term target in the $200 region. And, lastly, you likely didn’t expect it if you were listening to the pundits who always told you gold couldn't rally alongside equities!

The Importance of Sentiment

You see, markets are not driven by the substance of news or exogenous events, but are predominantly driven by market sentiment. Many social experiments have been conducted over the last 30 years which proves this to be true, despite the public’s belief to the contrary. And, as these experiments have proven, what does control market direction is something we term “market sentiment” or “social mood.”

In a paper entitled “Large Financial Crashes,” published in 1997 in Physica A., a publication of the European Physical Society, the authors, within their conclusions, present a nice summation for the overall herding phenomena within financial markets:

“Stock markets are fascinating structures with analogies to what is arguably the most complex dynamical system found in natural sciences, i.e., the human mind. Instead of the usual interpretation of the Efficient Market Hypothesis in which traders extract and incorporate consciously (by their action) all information contained in market prices, we propose that the market as a whole can exhibit an “emergent” behavior not shared by any of its constituents. In other words, we have in mind the process of the emergence of intelligent behavior at a macroscopic scale that individuals at the microscopic scales have no idea of. This process has been discussed in biology for instance in the animal populations such as ant colonies or in connection with the emergence of consciousness.”

The prevailing social mood or market sentiment interprets the exogenous events we hear about, and as the market moves based upon the predominant mass sentiment, the media retroactively spins the events to align with the market sentiment. If sentiment is positive, then the market will react positively, even if the news is negative, and vice versa.  This is why we often see markets go up on bad news and down on good news, and it makes so many scratch their heads, especially if they are looking towards “logic” in the markets or if they are looking for their directional cues based upon the substance of the news.  

This also explains why so many were looking the wrong way when the stock market bottomed in March. They were following all the news, pundits and analysis which explained how the market was going to continue to crash. And even as we rallied, if you had read most of the articles being published during the recent 50% rally in the SPX, all you heard was how the market was about to imminently crash again due to unemployment, or bankruptcies, or the 2nd wave of Covid, etc.

But true market sentiment, as measured by our Elliott Wave analysis, was pointing higher, which benefited our members in a life changing way.

Measuring Sentiment Through Mathematical Analysis

How does Elliott Wave analysis measure market sentiment, and what does “Fibonacci Pinball” have to do with any of this?

The answer begins with an understanding of a mathematical principle called “Phi.”

In 1228, Leonardo Fibonacci da Pisa published his monumental work entitled Liber Abaci, in which he “rediscovered” what is commonly known today as the Fibonacci sequence of numbers:  1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, etc.  Within this sequence, each higher number is the sum of the prior two numbers, and the ratio of any two consecutive numbers approximates 1.618 or its inverse, .618. The higher you move through the sequence, the closer you move towards the 1.618/.618 relationship. This .618 number has been referred to as the “Golden Mean” throughout history.  We also refer to this number as Phi.

There is significant evidence, based upon recent studies, that behavior and decision making within a herd and on an individual basis display mathematically driven distributions based on Phi. This basically means that mass decision making will move forward and move backward based upon mathematical relationships within their movements.  This is the same mathematical basis with which nature is governed. The same laws that were set in place for nature also govern man’s decision making, en masse, and on an individual basis.

Elliott Wave’s Use of Fibs to Predict Markets

In Elliott Wave analysis, we use ratios based upon Phi, the Fibonacci ratio of 1.618, and its inverse .618, among other ratios, to predict the progression and regression of market prices.

Below is an example of a classic 5-wave market advance.  As you’ll see, each up-wave has 5 sub-waves within it, and each down-wave has 3 sub-waves, with each sub-wave having a specific Phi-derived target.

Once the first two waves (i and ii on the chart) are complete, the sub-waves of the following three waves become relatively easy to prognosticate, as they advance or decline based on Fibonacci extensions that are calculated based on the length of the first two waves.

We call this phenomenon, in which we can more reliably predict the sub-waves starting in the 3^rd wave, Fibonacci Pinball.

Essentially, like a caroming pinball, price takes off in a classic 3rd wave, zigzagging in five relatively predictable sub-waves. The relative predictability continues into the 4th and 5th waves.

We used Fibonacci Pinball in predicting the market bottom in March, as well as our upside target in the SPX of over 3200 off that March bottom.

From the top near 3136 that the SPX reached on March 3, labeled wave (2) on the chart, we were able to identify a bottoming target range between 2266.43 and 2187.90, with the lower end nailing the market low.

As you can see on the same chart, we were initially expecting a 4^th wave rally, with an upside target of 2725 on the SPX. But once the market moved through that resistance point, it told us quite clearly that we needed to adjust our perspective in favor of a continuing rally north of 3200 from there. 

For those in our chat room, you would know that I noted to our members that I was getting back into the market as we were striking those lows in March, and was even getting back into the market with my children’s 529 plans (since I went to cash in those accounts near the highs and you can only make changes to them twice a year).

On April 11, we posted the following chart. From the trough of the wave (2) low the SPX reached at 2447.49 on April 1, a standard 176.4% extension pointed to 3234.23.  That is exactly (by 87 cents) where the SPX nominally topped on June 8, and, at the time of this writing, we are still unsure if this was the high of all 5 waves off the March lows, or if we are going towards the 3400-3440 SPX region for a more extended initial 5 waves off the March low.

Forecasting Gold

Similar analysis directed our projections on gold.

On May 11, 2019, we wrote the following to our members: “Sideways seems to be the way the metals like to move over the last 3 years.  And, it has become quite maddening.  But, they often say that the bigger the basing, the stronger the rally.  So, when we finally do break out, it would suggest that the market will be moving fast and furious to our targets overhead, as can be seen most clearly in the daily GLD chart I have attached.”

As we showed on the chart, the GLD had actually “bottomed” in a wave 2 in September 2018, and was setting up for what we know in wave 3 to be its most powerful move of the 5 waves. 

That May 2019 chart only shows a portion of the expected upside, pointing to around $150 by April 2020. Here’s what a more recent chart looks like, showing the actual power of that wave 3 move – a move, incidentally, with still more upside ahead for the GLD:

Notice that the top of wave 3 points to a near double in price off the September 2018 wave 2 low near $110.  And looking at a more micro third wave count, a standard 176.4% extension off the wave (ii) low near $156 in June of this year points to the GLD reaching $206 in wave (iii), as shown in the blue box on the chart.

Looking Back To What’s Ahead

Market sentiment is clearly bullish for gold, despite what pundits may tell you about using gold as a hedge against a market downturn. Our Elliott Wave analysis anticipates this positive sentiment will continue to drive the GLD higher, to above the $200 level in the coming months.

From there we should see a major bout of weakness, perhaps at the time when news and pundits tell you all the reasons why you need to own gold. 

To understand how well this methodology has worked in the metals market over the years, consider that I called the market top in gold in 2011 within $6 of the actual high struck that year, and outlined the $1000 region as an ideal target for a correction begun in 2011. This was at a time when everyone and their mother was certain that gold was going to rally through the $2000 mark during the parabolic rally we were experiencing during the summer of 2011. This really highlights the outstandingly accurate topping call we made in 2011.

Then, I told our members the night that gold bottomed in December of 2015 that I was on the phone with my broker buying gold. I was also buying mining stocks quite heavily in 2015. We even rolled out our EWT Mining Stocks Service in September of 2015 in anticipation of a major bottoming in the complex. At the time, we were buying mining stocks such as Barrick Gold in the $7 region, whereas it has more than quadrupled today, just 5 years later.

In fact, Doug Eberhardt, of Buygoldandsilversafely.com, has noted the following about my purchases from him back in 2015:

“I can attest to your accuracy on actually buying both gold and silver from us as close to the bottom as one could. With gold you called it to the letter and your limit order which was placed well in advance executed perfectly. The silver limit orders were within a tight range of the lows as well . . . Your timing on buying the dips is uncanny Avi! People should be aware of this.” 

Then, again, in March of 2020, as silver spiked just below the $12 level, I noted that I was again on the phone with Doug buying silver. Doug posted the following to our members not long after that purchase in March:

“Avi has the magic touch. Listen to him . . . And I want to explain to you all what Avi did for you. He got most of you to buy the metals before the premiums shot up and before everyone ran out of product. This is the 2nd time he has done this and kudos to him for doing that for you.”

In the coming months, I will be outlining to our members where I plan to begin taking profits on the positions I bought in the mining complex back in 2015. 

We also expect a pullback in the SPX in the coming the months, perhaps right when FOMO has everyone and his aunt telling you to buy.

That pullback in the SPX will actually be a primary wave ii, which we see should retrace to a minimum of the 2900 region. Once we determine a bottom for that wave, we’ll be able to measure the Fibonacci extensions that tell us where the next big primary wave iii rally in the market is headed, which could be as high as 5000 in the next few years and with all 5 waves pointing as high as the 6000 region before the start of a multi-year bear market.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Hi, this is Troy Noonan. At BackPackTrader.com, we trade to achieve personal freedom. We want to spend less time at the computer, and more time living the llife that we were meant to live.

Let's face it, life isn't easy these days. Covid-19, wearing masks and social distancing is affecting our lives and seriously impacting livelihoods. Tech stocks are reaching astronomical valuations, while oil struggles to break $40

When it comes to trading, you need to be armed to the teeth to achieve consistency. Strategy, money & risk management and trading psychology are essential. Like a 3-legged stool, you need to have all 3 elements to keep the stool from falling over.

SHORT VIDEO PRESENTATION: AVOIDING THE WHIPSAW AND WHEN TO ATTACK

ABOUT THE AUTHOR